| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.76 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.53 | 63.2% | 23.71 | 36.4% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.41 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 37.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.53 | 60.0% | 21.92 | 39.6% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.93 | 40.2% | 6.41 | 40.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.67 | 59.2% | 37.68 | 40.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.27 | 41.2% | 14.52 | 41.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.97 | 58.0% | 58.03 | 40.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.80 | 56.1% | 31.88 | 43.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.75 | 55.0% | 20.75 | 44.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.45 | 54.3% | 7.85 | 45.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.81 | 52.7% | 60.00 | 45.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.50 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 48.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.28 | 47.9% | 15.93 | 51.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.74 | 52.3% | 9.28 | 52.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.63 | 46.3% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.