| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.25 | 54.6% | 32.36 | 55.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.61 | 53.3% | 23.79 | 53.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.96 | 52.4% | 17.78 | 52.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.08 | 46.6% | 55.48 | 51.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.56 | 43.8% | 45.82 | 54.9% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.48 | 56.5% | 46.56 | 57.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →