| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.98 | 56.6% | 60.00 | 42.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.26 | 53.9% | 60.00 | 44.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.91 | 51.3% | 49.75 | 47.5% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.50 | 48.6% | 60.00 | 49.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.86 | 52.8% | 6.79 | 53.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →