| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.78 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.59 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 150.94 | 39.8% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.72 | 61.2% | 42.08 | 38.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.36 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.09 | 57.0% | 47.32 | 42.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.85 | 54.7% | 55.68 | 44.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 133.52 | 44.9% | 60.00 | 46.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 136.85 | 41.6% | 56.96 | 43.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →