| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.73 | 77.1% | 47.59 | 22.4% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.87 | 75.9% | 51.53 | 23.5% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.58 | 74.9% | 31.15 | 24.7% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 6.86 | 74.5% | 5.11 | 25.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →