Cities / Europe

Amsterdam

Netherlands·Europe·EHAM·52.37, 4.90

Grade BSettles reliably83%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 81% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

mismatch

Temperature

13.3°C

Humidity

85%

Wind

2.7m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 45.90
TDI: 54.10
Sources: 11 / 11
Settlement: not eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

45.9

Weather Discomfort Index

Overall weather stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

54.1

Thermal Discomfort Index

Heat and humidity stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

This hour is not settlement-eligible: a determination targeting it would be withheld and any market on it would settle as void.

Run run_nLsD282LPj

Anchor pending

as of 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC

refreshed 51 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

14 days

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-24	16.4	18.1	13.1	0.0	61	2.8	2
2026-09-25	16.7	21.3	10.7	0.0	58	2.9	2
2026-09-26	16.2	19.0	13.4	0.0	78	3.1	2
2026-09-27	15.5	20.2	12.1	0.3	89	1.6	2
2026-09-28	17.3	20.4	14.5	0.9	87	1.7	2
2026-09-29	20.1	25.7	15.3	0.3	79	2.7	2
2026-09-30	20.3	22.1	15.4	0.6	68	2.5	2
2026-10-01	19.8	23.2	16.8	23.7	83	2.2	1
2026-10-02	16.9	18.6	13.9	23.6	84	4.0	1
2026-10-03	13.3	16.1	11.1	4.1	82	2.9	1
2026-10-04	12.3	15.2	10.2	2.0	88	1.9	1
2026-10-05	12.6	14.8	10.5	0.6	88	1.8	1
2026-10-06	14.1	18.4	9.7	0.5	89	2.1	1
2026-10-07	16.8	18.1	15.1	1.2	88	3.5	1

Open markets 43

Product board →

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	53%	-50	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	47%	50%	-3	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	41%	25%	+16	23 h	40 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	82%	54%	+28	23 h	60 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≤ 11°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	18%	17%	+2	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	49%	-46	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 65% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	53%	53%	+0	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	21%	25%	-4	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 95% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	19%	42%	-24	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	75%	51%	+23	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 16°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	22%	23%	-1	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	39%	22%	+16	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	53%	49%	+4	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	57%	53%	+5	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	34%	53%	-18	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	59%	52%	+7	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 16°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	16%	19%	-3	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	74%	45%	+28	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	43%	50%	-8	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 95% at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	56%	46%	+10	3 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	21 h ago
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	22 h ago
Will Amsterdam wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	23 h ago
Will Amsterdam wind ≥ 4m/s at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	23 h ago
Will Amsterdam humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	23 h ago

Station day · EHAM · 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 local · 22:00Z → 22:00Z UTC · +02:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Amsterdam that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

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