Cities / Asia

Cebu

Philippines·Asia·RPVM·10.32, 123.89

Grade CSettlement risk52%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 55% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

mismatch

Temperature

28.8°C

Humidity

81%

Wind

1.4m/s

Precipitation

0.3mm

WDI: 53.90
TDI: 73.50
Sources: 10 / 11
Settlement: not eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

53.9

Weather Discomfort Index

Overall weather stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

73.5

Thermal Discomfort Index

Heat and humidity stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

This hour is not settlement-eligible: a determination targeting it would be withheld and any market on it would settle as void.

Run run_nLsD282LPj

Anchor pending

as of 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC

refreshed 50 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

15 days

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-24	26.1	29.0	24.6	28.9	94	0.7	1
2026-09-25	26.2	29.6	24.2	14.8	93	1.0	1
2026-09-26	26.3	29.2	24.2	9.4	92	1.2	1
2026-09-27	26.3	30.0	24.2	11.4	92	0.9	1
2026-09-28	26.2	30.0	24.1	16.8	91	1.0	1
2026-09-29	25.9	29.0	23.9	19.8	91	1.2	1
2026-09-30	26.0	27.3	24.3	13.2	93	0.5	1
2026-10-01	26.5	28.7	24.4	11.4	91	0.9	1
2026-10-02	26.3	27.7	24.7	15.6	93	0.7	1
2026-10-03	26.1	28.1	24.0	13.1	93	0.8	1
2026-10-04	26.6	28.5	24.5	1.9	89	1.1	1
2026-10-05	26.4	28.3	24.1	6.0	90	1.6	1
2026-10-06	26.8	29.6	24.5	3.0	90	1.2	1
2026-10-07	26.8	29.4	24.5	7.2	91	0.8	1
2026-10-08	26.0	27.4	24.5	25.3	91	2.1	1

Open markets 62

Product board →

Next-day markets are not listed automatically for Cebu: too many of its recent hours were not settlement-eligible, and a next-day market that voids after a day of trading helps nobody. The 3-, 7- and 14-day markets are listed as usual, and you can open a next-day market by hand on the right.

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	47%	52%	-4	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	66%	42%	+23	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	58%	51%	+8	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	8%	19%	-11	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	55%	44%	+12	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	40%	46%	-6	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	20%	30%	-10	23 h	25 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	44%	51%	-6	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	53%	50%	+3	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	19%	20%	-1	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	69%	54%	+15	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	54%	46%	+8	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	34%	43%	-8	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	32%	23%	+9	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	51%	47%	+4	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	50%	55%	-4	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	49%	54%	-5	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	59%	54%	+5	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	79%	47%	+32	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	65%	56%	+10	3 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	22 h ago
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	23 h ago
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	23 h ago
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	23 h ago
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	24 h ago

Station day · RPVM · 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 local · 16:00Z → 16:00Z UTC · +08:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Cebu that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

Insure this city →

Date

Avg °C

Max

Min

Rain mm

Hum %

Wind m/s

2026-09-24

26.1

29.0

24.6

28.9

0.7

2026-09-25

26.2

29.6

24.2

14.8

1.0

2026-09-26

26.3

29.2

24.2

9.4

1.2

2026-09-27

26.3

30.0

24.2

11.4

0.9

2026-09-28

26.2

30.0

24.1

16.8

1.0

2026-09-29

25.9

29.0

23.9

19.8

1.2

2026-09-30

26.0

27.3

24.3

13.2

0.5

2026-10-01

26.5

28.7

24.4

11.4

0.9

2026-10-02

26.3

27.7

24.7

15.6

0.7

2026-10-03

26.1

28.1

24.0

13.1

0.8

2026-10-04

26.6

28.5

24.5

1.9

1.1

2026-10-05

26.4

28.3

24.1

6.0

1.6

2026-10-06

26.8

29.6

24.5

3.0

1.2

2026-10-07

26.8

29.4

24.5

7.2

0.8

2026-10-08

26.0

27.4

24.5

25.3

2.1

Question

Market

Edge

Closes

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

52%

-4

23 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

42%

+23

23 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

51%

23 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

19%

-11

23 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

44%

+12

23 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

46%

-6

23 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

30%

-10

23 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

51%

-6

47 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

50%

47 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

20%

-1

47 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

54%

+15

47 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

46%

47 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

43%

-8

47 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

23%

47 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

47%

47 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

55%

-4

3 d

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

54%

-5

3 d

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

54%

3 d

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

47%

+32

3 d

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

56%

+10

3 d

Question

Result

Settled

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

22 h ago

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

23 h ago

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

23 h ago

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

23 h ago

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

24 h ago

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.