Cities / Asia

Jeju

South Korea·Asia·RKPC·33.50, 126.53·KMA direct

Grade CHigh settlement risk48%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 55% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

mixed

Temperature

25.3°C

Humidity

67%

Wind

2.9m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 49.90
TDI: 69.10
Sources: 11 / 11
Settlement: not eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

49.9

Weather Discomfort Index

Overall weather stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

69.1

Thermal Discomfort Index

Heat and humidity stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

This hour is not settlement-eligible: a determination targeting it would be withheld and any market on it would settle as void.

Run run_nLsD282LPj

Anchor pending

as of 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC

refreshed 51 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

15 days

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-24	22.9	25.3	21.2	0.0	75	2.0	2
2026-09-25	23.7	26.9	21.8	2.2	73	2.6	2
2026-09-26	22.9	25.0	21.9	99.2	86	2.0	2
2026-09-27	23.9	26.0	22.5	13.2	73	2.6	2
2026-09-28	22.8	25.7	21.5	5.2	69	2.7	2
2026-09-29	24.3	26.8	21.7	5.0	68	2.9	2
2026-09-30	21.7	25.0	20.0	4.6	64	3.5	2
2026-10-01	18.7	21.6	17.6	0.0	56	3.7	2
2026-10-02	18.9	22.0	16.9	0.0	57	2.7	2
2026-10-03	20.7	21.9	19.4	4.5	69	2.3	1
2026-10-04	17.4	19.9	15.4	0.9	77	3.2	1
2026-10-05	16.7	18.7	14.8	0.5	73	1.2	1
2026-10-06	19.6	21.0	17.8	0.1	72	3.3	1
2026-10-07	20.4	22.1	19.0	0.0	70	3.9	1
2026-10-08	18.5	21.2	15.7	0.0	72	2.3	1

Open markets 47

Product board →

Next-day markets are not listed automatically for Jeju: too many of its recent hours were not settlement-eligible, and a next-day market that voids after a day of trading helps nobody. The 3-, 7- and 14-day markets are listed as usual, and you can open a next-day market by hand on the right.

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	69%	58%	+11	23 h	23 sUSDT
Will Jeju humidity ≥ 65% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	34%	43%	-10	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	56%	-53	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	26%	27%	-1	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	47%	43%	+4	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 5mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	47%	-44	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	52%	-49	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	3%	47%	-44	23 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	71%	56%	+15	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	17%	45%	-29	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 25°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	50%	45%	+5	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	83%	50%	+32	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 8mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	52%	52%	0	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	31%	30%	+2	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	80%	57%	+23	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	46%	55%	-9	47 h	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	50%	48%	+2	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	34%	49%	-15	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	63%	54%	+9	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	21%	24%	-3	3 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	23 h ago
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	24 h ago
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 25°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	void	24 h ago
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC?	void	47 h ago
Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC?	void	48 h ago

Station day · RKPC · 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 local · 15:00Z → 15:00Z UTC · +09:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Jeju that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

Insure this city →

Date

Avg °C

Max

Min

Rain mm

Hum %

Wind m/s

2026-09-24

22.9

25.3

21.2

0.0

2.0

2026-09-25

23.7

26.9

21.8

2.2

2.6

2026-09-26

22.9

25.0

21.9

99.2

2.0

2026-09-27

23.9

26.0

22.5

13.2

2.6

2026-09-28

22.8

25.7

21.5

5.2

2.7

2026-09-29

24.3

26.8

21.7

5.0

2.9

2026-09-30

21.7

25.0

20.0

4.6

3.5

2026-10-01

18.7

21.6

17.6

0.0

3.7

2026-10-02

18.9

22.0

16.9

0.0

2.7

2026-10-03

20.7

21.9

19.4

4.5

2.3

2026-10-04

17.4

19.9

15.4

0.9

3.2

2026-10-05

16.7

18.7

14.8

0.5

1.2

2026-10-06

19.6

21.0

17.8

0.1

3.3

2026-10-07

20.4

22.1

19.0

0.0

3.9

2026-10-08

18.5

21.2

15.7

0.0

2.3

Question

Market

Edge

Closes

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

58%

+11

23 h

Will Jeju humidity ≥ 65% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

43%

-10

23 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

56%

-53

23 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

27%

-1

23 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

43%

23 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 5mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

47%

-44

23 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

52%

-49

23 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC

47%

-44

23 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

56%

+15

47 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

45%

-29

47 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 25°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

45%

47 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

50%

+32

47 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 8mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

52%

47 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

30%

47 h

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

57%

+23

47 h

Will Jeju humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC

55%

-9

47 h

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

48%

3 d

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

49%

-15

3 d

Will Jeju precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

54%

3 d

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC

24%

-3

3 d

Question

Result

Settled

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

23 h ago

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

24 h ago

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 25°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?

void

24 h ago

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 26°C at 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC?

void

47 h ago

Will Jeju temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC?

void

48 h ago

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.