Cities / Europe

Krakow

Poland·Europe·EPKK·50.06, 19.94

Grade CSettles reliably79%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 50% (30d)

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Hourly consensus

verified

Temperature

6.7°C

Humidity

93%

Wind

2.8m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 43.40
TDI: 45.90
Sources: 11 / 11
Settlement: eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

43.4

Weather Discomfort Index

Overall weather stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

45.9

Thermal Discomfort Index

Heat and humidity stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

Run run_nLsD282LPj

Anchor pending

as of 2026-09-24 05:00 UTC

refreshed 51 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

15 days

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-24	10.6	15.9	6.9	0.6	81	2.4	1
2026-09-25	12.8	15.4	10.8	0.8	86	2.1	1
2026-09-26	13.0	17.6	8.8	0.0	78	1.3	1
2026-09-27	13.8	19.4	7.5	0.0	77	1.3	1
2026-09-28	14.7	20.9	9.6	0.0	79	1.6	1
2026-09-29	13.9	20.8	9.1	0.0	78	2.2	1
2026-09-30	13.2	18.7	8.9	0.0	78	3.2	1
2026-10-01	13.3	18.5	8.7	0.0	78	3.5	1
2026-10-02	14.2	21.2	9.3	0.0	74	2.6	1
2026-10-03	14.4	21.3	8.3	0.0	74	1.1	1
2026-10-04	14.3	18.7	11.6	4.5	82	2.5	1
2026-10-05	11.7	15.9	9.0	0.9	80	1.5	1
2026-10-06	11.3	13.9	8.8	2.3	87	1.1	1
2026-10-07	12.0	16.9	8.7	0.1	80	2.1	1
2026-10-08	12.9	19.7	8.4	0.6	67	2.9	1

Open markets 48

Product board →

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	74%	54%	+20	23 h
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 95% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	34%	47%	-13	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≤ 10°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	11%	21%	-10	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	14%	25%	-11	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	31%	24%	+7	23 h
Will Krakow wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	29%	31%	-1	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≤ 11°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	26%	26%	0	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	53%	55%	-2	23 h
Will Krakow precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	6%	44%	-38	23 h
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	55%	54%	+1	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 9°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	96%	54%	+42	23 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	38%	51%	-13	47 h
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	43%	50%	-8	47 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	56%	43%	+13	47 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	21%	24%	-3	47 h
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	20%	50%	-30	3 d
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	11%	55%	-45	3 d
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	40%	44%	-4	3 d
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	49%	47%	+2	3 d
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	57%	57%	0	3 d

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Krakow humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	21 h ago
Will Krakow temperature ≤ 10°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	22 h ago
Will Krakow temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	22 h ago
Will Krakow wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	23 h ago
Will Krakow precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	23 h ago

Station day · EPKK · 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 local · 22:00Z → 22:00Z UTC · +02:00

Reading the station…

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A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

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