Cities / South America

Sao Paulo

Brazil·South America·SBGR·-23.55, -46.63

Grade CSettles reliably74%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 67% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

verified

Temperature

13.7°C

Humidity

94%

Wind

2.8m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 48.00
TDI: 54.60
Sources: 10 / 11
Settlement: eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

48.0

Weather Discomfort Index

Overall weather stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

54.6

Thermal Discomfort Index

Heat and humidity stress on the hour, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

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Run run_odpr-85tvK

Anchor pending

as of 2026-09-24 04:00 UTC

refreshed 4 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

15 days

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-24	15.3	19.7	13.0	0.0	86	2.3	2
2026-09-25	19.2	27.4	15.1	3.1	81	2.0	2
2026-09-26	21.5	30.7	17.1	0.0	79	1.3	2
2026-09-27	20.4	26.8	16.6	0.0	81	2.0	2
2026-09-28	22.9	30.7	17.2	0.3	69	2.0	2
2026-09-29	26.0	34.2	18.6	0.0	62	2.3	2
2026-09-30	23.6	26.6	19.2	4.0	70	1.9	1
2026-10-01	15.3	18.3	13.6	11.8	89	3.2	1
2026-10-02	15.5	19.1	13.0	34.0	86	3.3	1
2026-10-03	19.2	27.7	13.6	0.0	76	2.1	1
2026-10-04	20.3	22.3	17.9	13.8	86	3.4	1
2026-10-05	19.9	21.7	16.9	5.4	87	3.5	1
2026-10-06	17.6	19.4	15.6	23.9	89	2.7	1
2026-10-07	20.9	25.5	18.2	11.5	79	4.9	1
2026-10-08	15.5	18.6	14.4	0.2	89	3.5	1

Open markets 57

Product board →

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	8%	21%	-13	51 min	148 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	30%	38%	-8	51 min	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	24%	41%	-17	51 min	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	50%	50%	+1	51 min	101 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo humidity ≥ 95% at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	64%	64%	+0	51 min	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	3%	14%	-11	51 min	234 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≤ 12°C at 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC	24%	27%	-3	51 min	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	23%	23%	0	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo humidity ≥ 95% at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	42%	61%	-19	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 17°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	14%	22%	-7	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 16°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	31%	32%	-1	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	52%	50%	+2	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo wind ≥ 2m/s at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	50%	50%	0	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≤ 14°C at 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	27%	27%	0	25 h	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 16°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	70%	50%	+20	2 d	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	19%	19%	-1	2 d	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 17°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	52%	45%	+7	2 d	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 18°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	34%	21%	+13	2 d	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	84%	51%	+33	2 d	0 sUSDT
Will Sao Paulo humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-26 06:00 UTC	54%	43%	+11	2 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	19 h ago
Will Sao Paulo temperature ≤ 12°C at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	20 h ago
Will Sao Paulo precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	21 h ago
Will Sao Paulo wind ≥ 4m/s at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	21 h ago
Will Sao Paulo precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-23 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	21 h ago

Station day · SBGR · 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 local · 03:00Z → 03:00Z UTC · -03:00

Reading the station…

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A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

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